Pleiades, Superstar at National Championship 2026 - Germany
Pleiades, Superstar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Umut Kayan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Leonardo Bednik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Finn Kleine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.