National Championship 2026 - Australia - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Griffin Armitage

12th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Oscar Richichi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Billy Docherty (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs German Glukhov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.18
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.31
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.39
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.34
R10	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Nik Malev

21st • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaan Cekli (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ronan Devlin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Murray Shaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.93
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.18
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.10

Eugene Beissel

22nd • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zack Jarmyn (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Liam Herzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs German Glukhov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.43
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.86
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.69
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.31

Kaan Cekli

39th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Hu (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Van Daalen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Austin MacKenzie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.65
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.93
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.16

benji muehlebach

41st • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Dagan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs James MacDonald (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs John Farren (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Austin MacKenzie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David House (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.05
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.31

Casey Wilson

49th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Malek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Tom Dagan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.05
R10	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Evan Bicknell

45th • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luke Ranasinghe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Herzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Brendan Champion (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.44
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jonathan Khoo

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Declan Bradley

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Quigley (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Marr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rhys McMillan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Noah Cantwell

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matt Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Claire Grant (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.53
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brett Curtain

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.13
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Claire Grant

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Cantwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Isaac Katsakis

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Tjahjono (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jackson CASANOVA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.