Vynnset, Iron Maiden
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roberto Lobato (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Canche (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Castillo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Josafat Valdez De León (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Vargas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jesus Roman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marco Antonio Jiménez García (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roberto Alonso (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Luis Franco (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Max Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Noe Perez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Angel Padilla (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
11th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Eli Campos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesus Roman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Castillo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs César Barajas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Saúl Orozco Albiter (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fernando Valenzuela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorge Octavio Mora Sánchez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fernando León Rivera (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.