National Championship 2026 - Mexico - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (CC) - FaB-Results

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

33rd • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arnulfo Gonzalez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Vargas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

Jarl Vetreiði

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ian Manuel Espinosa Méndez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Oscar Rodríguez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jose de Jesus Romero Valdez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.09
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.35
R8	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.39

Julio Alberto Sánchez Torres

40th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73

Prism, Awakener of Sol

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tomas Espejel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Puffin, Hightail

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Roberto Lobato (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rodolfo García (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Genaro Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.82
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

49th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gaston Zagursky (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73

Puffin, Hightail

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Noe Perez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rodolfo García (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carlo Alcantar (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jose de Jesus Romero Valdez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs luis alberto de la rosa muñoz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.12
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.60
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.