National Championship 2026 - Mexico - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Roger Alan Luna Fernandez

10th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Josafat Valdez De León (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eli Campos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.14

Manuel Curiel

17th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Roberto Lobato (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Edmark Avalos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Brayan Izquierdo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.86
R9	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.86

Rodolfo García

47th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roberto Alonso (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Julio Alberto Sánchez Torres (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.83
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Fernando Valenzuela

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs César Barajas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eli Campos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesús Mercado (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.24
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.88
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Liz Suastes

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Manuel Espinosa Méndez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Alcantar (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Saúl Orozco Albiter (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.76
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.29
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Vigneo Guzman

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roberto Alonso (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marco Antonio Jiménez García (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Diego de Alba Montes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edmark Avalos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vigneo Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.