Zyggy Starlight
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rodolfo García (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs Vigneo Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesus Roman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Canche (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.