National Championship 2026 - Mexico - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Diego de Alba Montes

16th • 4-1-1

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julio Heredia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Salvador Ramirez Rosales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.35
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.76
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.15

Brandon Ortiz

22nd • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Alcantar (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Max Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.56
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.26
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.84
R9	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo

35th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julio Alberto Sánchez Torres (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Genaro Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ian Manuel Espinosa Méndez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.84
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.82

Luis Canche

23rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose de Jesus Romero Valdez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roberto Alonso (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.50
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.03
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Gaston Zagursky

27th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27

95:5

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oscar Rodríguez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Salvador Ramirez Rosales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.08
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.03
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.85

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.