Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2026

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar

5th • 5-2-0

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Castillo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gaston Zagursky (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

15:85

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 16:84

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.56
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.71
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.64
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Arnoldo Sandoval

26th • 2-4-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rene Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Saúl Orozco Albiter (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Diego de Alba Montes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.49
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.47
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Jose de Jesus Romero Valdez

43rd • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marco Antonio Mendoza Cabrera (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alejandro Zavala Rodriguez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luis Canche (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arnulfo Gonzalez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Angel Padilla (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.89
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.54
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

luis alberto de la rosa muñoz

44th • 2-4-0

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Carlos Uribe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brayan Izquierdo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rene Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noe Perez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 16:84

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.73

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.