Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Salvador Ramirez Rosales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KI JO HAN KIM (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomas Espejel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edmark Avalos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fernando León Rivera (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Braulio Mora (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.