Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Miguel Rubio

3rd • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rodolfo García (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Salvador Ramirez Rosales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Roberto Lobato (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.31
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.21
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.88
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

OMAR MATA

24th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Manuel Humberto Barrientos (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marco Antonio Mendoza Cabrera (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Alejandro Zavala Rodriguez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.90
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.49
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

nissim hernandez

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eli Campos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Humberto Barrientos (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose Carlos Uribe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.22
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.