Fai, Rising Rebellion at National Championship 2026 - Mexico
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mario Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs OMAR MATA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.