Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
52nd • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs César Barajas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Jonathan Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Carlos Uribe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Arturo Del Castillo Valdez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.