Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-0-0
90%
Meta
+4.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
7.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeroen van der Wal (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oliver Spapens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
7.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
2nd • 7-3-0
90%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Beau Franz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
3rd • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Round 8: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lars Govers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
24th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Beau Franz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Kuric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
17th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joram Janson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lars Govers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Grimaldo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gary White (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
31st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Grimaldo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robin Waij (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Remco Baal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gjalt Hooijkamp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
36th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs René Van Hoorn (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Schuurmans (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lily-anne Hurkmans (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gjalt Hooijkamp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
43rd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeroen van der Wal (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Paulissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 10: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
44th • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Schuurmans (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gary White (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.