Ira, Scarlet Revenger
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wessel Groot (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remco Baal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Win vs Dave van Luttervelt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
95:5
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
42nd • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jasper Schatorje (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Schuurmans (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Thoen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Joram Janson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.