National Championship 2026 - Netherlands - Puffin, Hightail (CC)

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Malyk Höfle

16th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Noah Cagle (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Beau Franz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dalton Harmsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lars Govers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.16
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.30
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.36
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Wessel Groot

19th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Calum Young (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Beau Franz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.21
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.69
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.97

René Van Hoorn

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.97
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.