National Championship 2026 - Netherlands - Marlynn, Treasure Hunter (CC) - FaB-Results

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

37th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wessel Groot (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

Fai, Rising Rebellion

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Dorinthea Ironsong

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.18
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.68	2.38

Michael Schuurmans

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gjalt Hooijkamp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jasper Schatorje (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.