Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper Schatorje (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
Round 8: Win vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Joram Janson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
45th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lily-anne Hurkmans (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Kuric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Doornenbal (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gjalt Hooijkamp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Schuurmans (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.