Dorinthea Ironsong
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 6-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
34th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs René Van Hoorn (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
13th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Kuric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.