Prism, Awakener of Sol
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs René Van Hoorn (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jory van de Loo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.