National Championship 2026 - Netherlands - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alwart Nijveld

12th • 6-1-0

71%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lars Govers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Noah Cagle (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.37
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.11
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.87

Ernesto Silva

23rd • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sam Paulissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Wessel Groot (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Calum Young (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.82
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.99

Dalton Harmsen

dropped • 2-1-1

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Jurgen Maas

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Kuric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joram Janson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lars Govers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.