Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joram Janson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.