Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gjalt Hooijkamp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jory van de Loo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
21st 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jurgen Maas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lily-anne Hurkmans (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.