National Championship 2026 - Netherlands - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hugo Platret

5th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dave van Luttervelt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.12
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.70
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.48
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Kevin van Steenis

22nd • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Harmsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs René Van Hoorn (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Niels Vos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.62
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.20

Michael de Kok

20th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lily-anne Hurkmans (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jory van de Loo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.11
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43

Tom Kruijsen

30th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joram Janson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.49
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Dave van Luttervelt

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Calum Young (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.