Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at National Championship 2026 - Netherlands
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 10% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.