Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Remco Baal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.