Calling: Osaka - Viserai, Rune Blood (CC)

Viserai, Rune Blood

80 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hiroyuki Tansei

18th • 10-3-0

77%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Iada Caio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.44
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.29
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.81
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.07
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Mason Galvan

21st • 10-3-0

85%

Meta

+3.4

Perf

6.3

Surp

5.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rindo Masunaga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Liam Trodden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michel Corvino (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Wayne Tsui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.28
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.35
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.64
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.99
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.88
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Peter Bråss

24th • 9-4-0

54%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mervyn Lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matt Quigley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.07
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.21
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.36
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.56
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.26
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.48
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.90
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Sean Knowelden

34th • 9-4-0

46%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

6.4

Surp

4.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Darryn Ying (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mervyn Lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Keita Arai (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Yuhung Kao (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

46% (6/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.18
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.10
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.35
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.71
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.84
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.90
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.88
R13	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Enki Dupaquier

39th • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Wardan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wesley Dong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mervyn Lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Correas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.20
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.30
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.17
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.38
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.23
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.42

Daniel Correas

56th • 8-4-1

85%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Choi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 90:10

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Soya Okuda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Draw vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.04
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.28
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.51
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.26
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.85
R13	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kelvin Tan

50th • 8-5-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Wallner (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mountain Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Arthur Murta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.09
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.36
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.43
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.26
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.84
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.75
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Josef Mendez

53rd • 8-5-0

54%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Taine Markley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.09
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.37
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.20
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.33
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.99
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Yuki Matsumoto

58th • 8-5-0

69%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Darren Goh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.07
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.10
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.37
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.56
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.30
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.90
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.39
R13	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Yuhung Kao

69th • 7-6-0

69%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

6.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs yee wan choi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs spencer horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hatta Rin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs janis bernhards (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (7.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.10
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.18
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.28
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.15
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.23
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.81
R9	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.66
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Kieran Carnegie

dropped • 7-3-1

64%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

5.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Chambers (Unknown)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.09
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.37
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.27
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.69
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Isaac Teo

dropped • 6-4-0

80%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lexie Klasing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs erwin leung (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.10
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.11
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.70
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.30
R9	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Daniel Dreisziger

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ugo Henson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.44
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.28
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Andy Pham

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mountain Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs erwin leung (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.05
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.09
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.32
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Bryce Platz

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.82
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.72
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Frederic Fuessmann

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tom Simon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.10
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.67
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Kuan Li

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.44
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Marek Pihut

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Nefzger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs John Abanto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chuang Yike (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.21
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.73
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.29
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Melvin Chew

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matúš Martinko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.14
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Rafael Salsa

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Beni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nick Pearce (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Tye Soens

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wong Jun jian (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Simon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Valentin Varga

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs ricky leung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chris Legg (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 井上知也 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.46
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Wong Hennessy

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Wu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.16
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.57
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

大貴浅海

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keith Ang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.02
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Andre Ryan See

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Toby Firth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.15
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.84
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Clinton Ng

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 康平松本 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.09
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.18
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.28
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

David Marshall

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 左承勳 (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Javier Querol (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.73
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.43
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jarrod Bowler

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hatta Rin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeong Ho Shin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs katsuya kawai (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.73
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.57
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Kanaris Bounas

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.49
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.91
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

子謙張

dropped • 3-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Wong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Hamontree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Seiichi takahashi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Justin Rowland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Sean Stanley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 北斗神原 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Jun Sato

dropped • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Slusarski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs syun suzuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.15
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.06
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Ken Kuwahara

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs To Cheng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gyuwon Yoon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs SU WEI MING (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.06
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dale Low (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Fladung (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 優輝大野 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.16
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Lucas Izumi

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs BILLY CHAN (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jesse Harper (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chan Lion (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.40
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Fay

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hochun Lai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Samu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.24
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.47
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Matthew W

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Travis Barton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kelvin Law (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.68
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paweł Kręcki

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SU WEI MING (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Beni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gaetano Ferrara (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.37
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.33
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Renzo Schietgat

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jemima Evans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Goran Lovric (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.04
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Soya Okuda

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.67
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.94
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

suk kyo suh

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yu Hang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marek Pihut (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

裕貴川添

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Chu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Rowland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ricky leung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs janis bernhards (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.56
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.37
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

JohnsonCS Tsang

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zach Huey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Kai Young Tan

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Iada Caio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Akira Takezaki

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alex Knott

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rudy Ar (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs yu lain lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.06
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Bernhard Hinna

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Loo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kanaris Bounas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luke Kennedy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.10
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Chan Lion

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Seiichi takahashi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shunma Sasaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.62
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.81
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Legg

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Changgun Gwak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.62
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

David Wallner

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luke Kennedy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.39
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Hayashi Takashi

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeong Ho Shin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Taine Markley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.08
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Jesse Harper

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ka chun chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tom Simon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Mark Tan

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Knott (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 賢奥田 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs spencer horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Okamoto Katsuki

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mateus Barros (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lopez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs August Rokkanen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Tony Mapelli

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 原田成哉 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.19
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.97
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Gary Lee

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lopez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Luke Kennedy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.64
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

ryotaro takashima

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Quek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs yu lain lin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rindo Masunaga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

優輝大野

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hiromu Urahigashi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 佐藤宗良 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rindo Masunaga

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Koichi Yamaguchi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kidoguchi Hikaru

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 原田成哉 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 68:32

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Piotr Slusarski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.11
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.70
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.34
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Igor Wesołowski

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 由朗矢野 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.26
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Liam Trodden

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daichi Fujita (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lopez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Louis Tsoi

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ricky leung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.05
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

SHINGO OKAZAKI

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Tham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Raniel Valdellon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.17
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

haruka sonoda

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gyuwon Yoon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Okamoto Katsuki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Evandro Campos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.97
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

David Sitrick

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Li (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Athena Halkia (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Haywood (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Gyuwon Yoon

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yusuke Maeda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.17
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

song kyunghwan

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs lim jing hao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Si-Jie Gao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

佐藤宗良

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angel Moret (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Kiss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 優輝大野 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.31
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Takahito Natsume

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matúš Martinko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

pilyeon won

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Koichi Yamaguchi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Daniel Flavin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-

Edward Kim

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Justin Gottlieb

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Amelia Lee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luke Harris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

英鈴木

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Holland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.10
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Amelia Lee

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hiromu Urahigashi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Norio Koide (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Armand Miguel Medina

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolò Valenzano (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Iada Caio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yi Moon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Vulpe Razvan

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Gower (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Raymond Ocdol

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Jakub Grefling (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	75%	Draw	✓	0.75	-

Brandon Tan

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Keith Tan

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zac Doke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shigehiro Hama (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Erika Forslöf

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matúš Martinko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.