Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pang Chan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs 王 上熏 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Koichi Yamaguchi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tas Hasting (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 5: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
0% (0/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 8: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vinicius Souza (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gaetano Ferrara (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nathan Samu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
12%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keung Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Loo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 4: Win vs Christian Nefzger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs タカヒロ イヂチ (Unknown)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Akimichi Kaga (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Murray (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Daffinger (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Erick Boeder (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Worst Lexi SG Alfian Poon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Darryn Ying (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs janis bernhards (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YE MINSHENG (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.