FaB-Results
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Murray
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ricky leung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 23:77
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Si-Jie Gao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs taisuke nagai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs loki chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
Dash I/O
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs syun suzuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Lih Song Tan
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuhiro Nagatsuka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wong Jun jian (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Bravo, Showstopper
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Maciej Kawończyk
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Nefzger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SU WEI MING (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
Isaiah Malana
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs M Ramzi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 23:77
Dash I/O
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Tomohiko Shimanouchi
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 賢 奥田 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erick Boeder (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Jacob Bertrand
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
toshiaki tamura
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Viserai, Rune Blood
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.