Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Osaka
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ricky leung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Si-Jie Gao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs taisuke nagai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs loki chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs syun suzuki (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuhiro Nagatsuka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wong Jun jian (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Nefzger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SU WEI MING (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs M Ramzi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 賢 奥田 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erick Boeder (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Fay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.