Kano, Dracai of Aether
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
75th • 7-6-0
46%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vasil Boev (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arthur Murta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andy Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs spencer horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matt Quigley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takumi Saitou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Moret (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Huey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masato Umeki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs brynn nieboer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Roman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
Round 6: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lexie Klasing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Sitrick (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rudy Ar (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keith Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Ole Bumann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wataru Ishimoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kan Ting JoeB (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Samu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Domonkos Say (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs erwin leung (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Malek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Larissa Chow (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 優輝 大野 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.