Aurora, Shooting Star at Calling: Osaka

Aurora, Shooting Star

87 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Cas Mulder

3rd • 13-2-0

100%

Meta

+5.0

Perf

7.0

Surp

6.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hyeonjin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brendon Allan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolò Valenzano (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Correas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (15/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.03
R2	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.45
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.85
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Juha Saarnilampi

14th • 10-2-1

100%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erick Boeder (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ian Choi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs suk kyo suh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.06
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Draw	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.59
R10	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.79
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Adrián Marín

9th • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

6.4

Surp

4.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 周万濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Harper (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Josef Mendez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.10
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.26
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R8	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.64
R9	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.84
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

tim Lin

26th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ole Bumann (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hayashi Takashi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.24
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.66
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

岡本一朗

29th • 9-4-0

92%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.9

Surp

4.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Sitrick (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathon Peters (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pang Chan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 根本正尭 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.38
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.53
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.66
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Law Wen

36th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lk Sing (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maciej Janik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.38
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Adrian Słowiński

38th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

6.4

Surp

4.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs ricky leung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Soya Okuda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Marek Pihut (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matt Quigley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lucas Ward (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.26
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.45
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.46
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.81
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Hariz Hamdan

45th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.6

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dale Low (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paweł Roman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bryce Platz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs spencer horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.24
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.26
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.46
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.74
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.97
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Rafael de Oliveira Julio

48th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Akira Takezaki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Liwag (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Basil Foo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs In GwangYeol (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Josef Mendez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.26
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.44
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.77
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Angelito Jr Eusebio

61st • 8-5-0

92%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mu Kyun Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.40
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R9	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jesse Smith

65th • 8-5-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roderick So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mu Kyun Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Matt Quigley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.49
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Lachlan Buchan

70th • 7-6-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

6.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 北斗神原 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (7.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.52
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.58
R10	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Lk Sing

71st • 7-6-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (7.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.26
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.52
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.28
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.70
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Taine Markley

dropped • 7-5-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keith Yong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hayashi Takashi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Roderick So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gideon Law (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Baines (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.04
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R10	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

CYK Lionel

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gideon Law (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew W (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.64
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Yunck

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs erwin leung (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.24
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.35
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Derek Chiu

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sze Long Hsu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs See Atlantis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 莊子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.96

Huang Hsiang En

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.17
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Ian Chan

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Kostoglou (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rindo Masunaga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.75
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.80
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Javier Querol

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andy Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sze Long Hsu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Tham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Kyrios Mak

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Legg (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hatta Rin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ian Chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Oliver Kuhrt

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs YE MINSHENG (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Younghyun Jeong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs See Atlantis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Roderick So

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Taine Markley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Paris (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

See Atlantis

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Derek Chiu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

TSUNAKI SAWAI

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kanaris Bounas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tye Soens (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Valentin Varga (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.75
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wouter Ouwehand

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathon Peters (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.18
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Vinicius Souza

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.29
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kei Igarashi

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Yoshiaki Okamoto

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Haywood (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mu Kyun Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Hendrix N (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 井上知也 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.72
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.85

Joshua Lopez

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary Lee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liam Trodden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Katsuki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Basil Foo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.11
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Patryk Wasielewski

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Tham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matúš Martinko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Liam Holden

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs haruka sonoda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 大貴浅海 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.40
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Taiki Koike

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Soya Okuda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Law Wen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

erwin leung

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Snodgrass (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andy Pham (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.21
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Takahiro Motooka

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yi Moon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kazuhiro Nagatsuka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Roy Lai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Elly Bird

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ania Grudnowska

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Odi Winata (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Chris Chee Shi Feng

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Stanicki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oscar S (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Daniel Wallner

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marek Pihut (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Takuya Yokoi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.64
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Dominic Chong

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vinicius Souza (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

Filipe Camacho

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 和佳倉田 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Liwag (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs spencer horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jerry Kaonang

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Masato Umeki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs George Rodger (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Suh Jaeyong

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jun Yet Wong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Thomas Li

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Yip (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Toby Firth

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wong Jun jian (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs York kwok (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marko Zutic (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ugo Henson

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 英明大山 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Athena Halkia

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Sitrick (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gideon Law (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hao Yang Ng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.17
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Tabitha Boon

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 佐藤宗良 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 井上知也 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Hiroki Saito

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lari Lampainen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs lim jing hao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs sotaro takagishi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.99
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Adrian Quek

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marie Watson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.68
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Brendon Allan

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 莊子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs chen shr jiang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Chun On Anson Wong

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dillan Cadorette (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ian Chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.48
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.55
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Darryn Ying

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jemima Evans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Dexter Canright

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

HyoungJun You

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Malana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ian Holland

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shunma Sasaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yuhung Kao (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 英鈴木 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Abanto

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lexie Klasing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marek Pihut (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.33
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.77
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Lee Ka Yu

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sean Stanley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marko Zutic

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tore Eskeland (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Chau (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 周万濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Toby Firth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.99
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Masato Umeki

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keita Arai (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jerry Kaonang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Kostoglou (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Mu Kyun Kim

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Ryan Williams

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Katsuki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Wallner (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Akira Takezaki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Ong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Piotr Slusarski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.84
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tom Malek

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Seiichi takahashi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Snodgrass (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.60
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Tomasz Stanicki

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edward Bayford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.13
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Torpong Juntree

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kan Ting JoeB (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jarrod Bowler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Yutaro Sato

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.63
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jemima Evans

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Leon Lee (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Choi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Roy Lai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Norio Koide

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marie Watson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Amelia Lee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.68
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Piotr Slusarski

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kidoguchi Hikaru (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wiktor Woźniak

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 王上熏 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 莊子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Odi Winata (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 根本正尭 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 井上知也 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

yuuta nojiri

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Mizuno (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.46
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

WAI KIT LO

dropped • 2-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Baines (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-

YAT TUNG

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Debney (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 康平松本 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.12
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Kevin Lindenmayer

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pang Chan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jun Yet Wong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.62
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oscar S

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Risa Shioji

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Sze Long Hsu

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Javier Querol (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.35
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

York kwok

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marie Watson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs YOUTAROU MURAMOTO (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Toby Firth (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ka chun chan

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evandro Campos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Wilson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gideon Law (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Ekalux Ua-areemitr

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Bertrand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Sadat Minick

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kuan Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Daichi Fujita

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Saitou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Anya North

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Aurora Reeves

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Henry Moore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Kent Aldwin Celino

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Valon Maxhuni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Slusarski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Takaaki Ueno

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Tracy Reeves

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Basil Foo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.