Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Engen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayashi Takashi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jesse Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noah Hicks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 莊 子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 子謙 張 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 左 承勳 (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anya North (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piotr Slusarski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Wong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shunma Sasaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chan Lion (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jun Sato (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaiah Malana (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frederic Fuessmann (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Abanto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Adrian Malana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 優輝 大野 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominic Chong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Travis Barton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.