Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Calling: Osaka

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Fladung (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Ingkarat Boonyamanond (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 6: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 11: Loss vs janis bernhards (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 13: Win vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.