Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Osaka

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Martin Loo

dropped • 0-6-0

83%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs JA CHEN (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Chau (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs lim jing hao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

takahiro nishimura

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anya North (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.77
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dev Gordon

dropped • 2-0-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.