Calling: Osaka - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Martin Loo

dropped • 0-6-0

50%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs JA CHEN (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Chau (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs lim jing hao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

takahiro nishimura

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anya North (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs tim Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.55
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Dev Gordon

dropped • 2-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.90

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.