Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Osaka
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs To Cheng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs fujiwara yudai (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuhung Kao (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Genico Boy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Win vs Jarrod Bowler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maciej Janik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Lopez (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kan Ting JoeB (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Conor Grant (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keith Ang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mountain Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lih Song Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs loki chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josef Doležal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Stanicki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 英 鈴木 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louie Yazon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.