Calling: Osaka - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC) - FaB-Results

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shunma Sasaki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66

Viserai, Rune Blood

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Dash I/O

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Valon Maxhuni (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

Viserai, Rune Blood

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marek Pihut (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.39
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.00
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 今井貴大 (Unknown)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andy Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs PH Chung (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.73
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 27:73

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ingkarat Boonyamanond (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49

Viserai, Rune Blood

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 佐藤宗良 (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

dropped • 0-3-0

0%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lexie Klasing (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.