Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

43 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Feng

2nd • 13-2-0

80%

Meta

+5.6

Perf

7.6

Surp

6.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (12/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

7.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.07
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.26
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.54
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.72
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.81
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.88
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.60
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Sammy Weckx

3rd • 11-3-0

93%

Meta

+4.1

Perf

7.0

Surp

5.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.07
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R8	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.70
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R13	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.90
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Alessio Bouko

5th • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.5

Surp

5.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Antun Mesar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evan McTernan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs FREDERIC MOUTARDIER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.18
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.47
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.40
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.94
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Laurens Van der Beek

5th • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gilles De Vylder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Fabian Groß (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.10
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.39
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.48
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.63
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.70
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.94
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Jasper de Riet

22nd • 9-3-0

83%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

6.0

Surp

5.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Watt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Noah Cagle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.01
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

George Melissakis

41st • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.7

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Muntwyler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rok Havlas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.09
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R11	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11

Felix Buchs

46th • 8-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

80:20

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Johannes Janovsky (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.05
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.08
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.28

Rok Havlas

61st • 7-4-1

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Danny Otto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roger Braun (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Draw vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.06
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.50
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.10
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Correas

55th • 7-5-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Boog (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.76
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.84
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dennis Fröberg

59th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Job de Vries (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lukas Woitaschik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Johannes Janovsky (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.08
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.19
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.93
R12	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Takis Pavlou

64th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michał Chrostowski (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.16
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Martin Holík

dropped • 6-5-0

82%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

5.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Felix Albertsmeier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Möller (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Watt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.37
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.55
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.25
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.93
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mirko Dolce

dropped • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robin Waij (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Brecht Van Reusel

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robin Waij (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

David Kuric

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Spapens (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

David Watt

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.46
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeroen Caspers

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Gillich (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.19
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.79
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jimmy Nguyen

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Savinien Castel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kilian Schellekens

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jasper Meulenkamp (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Patrick Freitag (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.10
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.32
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.45

Konrad Weiss

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jasper Meulenkamp (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dominik Ixert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.05
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lukas Woitaschik

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Niels Vos (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Amine Mounzer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.15
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philipp Kuschel

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Schuurmans (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.89
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Rafael Boog

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.89
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Sami Belkhorfi

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Julia Happel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.04
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.32
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Antoine Ruffion

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julien Lizen (Unknown)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philipp Schlegel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fabian Groß (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.22
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Cedric SCHAACK

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Burghoff

dropped • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Werk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Apel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Enzo Ferreira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jasper Meulenkamp (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Smolders (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R6	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kiran Lee

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yves Meienberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mark Henderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.68
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.24
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Mert Gezgin

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Podolak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yannick Machiels (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dalton Harmsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Michael Jaszczur

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Wichink Kruit (Unknown)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Ray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Ally (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.38
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Jose Mestanza

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Wystub (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Ruben Costers

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wessel Groot (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Kruft (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

stef van oort

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Quentin Dauffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs FREDERIC MOUTARDIER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.14
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

Johannes Schorpp

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Quentin Dauffer

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs stef van oort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Job de Vries (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.81
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Christian Meinzer

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Enzo Ferreira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Wystub (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Gérôme Francois

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philippe Milot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Lucas Michel

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeroen Caspers (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Rik Godschalk

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuan Sean (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.08
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Falko Holzenhauer

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emile Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Robin Deceuninck

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lars Govers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael de Kaste (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.21

Andreas Kaiser

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Falko Holzenhauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Philippe Milot

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cato DIrdal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.