Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vincent Weinzierl

15th • 9-3-0

42%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.9

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Niels Debosschere (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

100:0

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Florian Koksch (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.02
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cedric Leuzinger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

100:0

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Niels Vos (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.29
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.32
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Kassai of the Golden Sand

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Paulissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

Dash I/O

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marcus Wystub (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Killian Allouard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jasper Meulenkamp (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30

Arakni, Huntsman

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R5	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.37
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Stijn Borkelmans

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jasper Lagendijk (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65

Jarl Vetreiði

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Kassai of the Golden Sand

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ruben dehenau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

100:0

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cedric Leuzinger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Dash I/O

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.75
R7	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

FREDERIC MOUTARDIER

dropped • 1-6-0

43%

Meta

-2.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

100:0

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordi Prins (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs stef van oort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Eastwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Valda, Seismic Impact

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Moore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Umut Kayan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.71
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.18
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Robson Dechamps

dropped • 3-3-0

0%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Valda, Seismic Impact

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Moore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Arakni, Marionette

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Dash I/O

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.63
R6	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Billy van Zaal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.