FaB-Results
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Timo Cullmann
48th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.8
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dalton Harmsen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Calum Young (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix Krisch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Jarl Vetreiði
!
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Marcus Rosemin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Romain Lambert
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs boris froidville (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael de Kaste (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jasper Meulenkamp (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Dayo Armstrong
dropped • 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanclaire (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Bradley Wayburne
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabian Groß (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuan Sean (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ype Beuk (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Davis Groza
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Dash I/O
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Viktor Sojka
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Prats (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roger Braun (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.