Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
66th • 7-5-0
17%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Müller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs André Kofmel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Danny Otto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
Round 12: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Remco Baal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Henderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julia Happel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Kruft (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bradley Wayburne (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc-Kevin Zontek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rafael Tarcha (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.