Vynnset, Iron Maiden
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
63rd • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Job de Vries (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Valentin Popov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Danny Otto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Marcus Rosemin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benoit CALVIA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Adrien Druart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Schauer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jan Schweder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Win vs Lars Govers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Albertsmeier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enzo Ferreira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Win vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Nennig (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aleksandar Kraljević (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bram bertens (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Joseph White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Robin Scornia (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Rosemin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adamantios Kounavos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Loss vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enzo Ferreira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Akers (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fabian Groß (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Prats (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Quentin Dauffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugenio Assenzi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Angilbert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Lars Govers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Moore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs boris froidville (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Jan Schweder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cédric De smet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Ray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yves Meienberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Brian Peeters (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jasper Lagendijk (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordi Prins (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Griesbach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Devos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adamantios Kounavos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Davis Groza (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Justin Kruft (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Harmsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Buntrock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tjorven Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Freitag (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs FREDERIC MOUTARDIER (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ruben dehenau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabian Groß (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Enzo Ferreira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Schuurmans (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Hahn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.