Fang, Dracai of Blades
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Nennig (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Wolfgang Mahl (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cédric De smet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs damien herlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
Round 6: Win vs Fanny Hermand (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amine Mounzer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Miguel Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Burggraaff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yassine Overlot (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cedric Leuzinger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antun Mesar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuan Sean (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Muntwyler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Jordi Prins (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Salina Vaes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeroen Caspers (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Peeters (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keir Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Nennig (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordi Prins (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs boris froidville (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.