Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Rotterdam 2026
Puffin, Hightail
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fanny Hermand (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gilles De Vylder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Prats (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Kruft (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Youri Gicquel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Overlot (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Scornia (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.