Dash I/O at Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Dash I/O

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki

20th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

6.2

Surp

6.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs damien herlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeroen Caspers (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Florian Koksch (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.36
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.04
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.38
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.75
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.96

Albert GUYO

35th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joseph White (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.69
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Thomas Preyer

50th • 7-5-0

58%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jordy Van Eijk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jasper Lagendijk (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Danny Otto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.08
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.16
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.82
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.88
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.55
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Marc Teunnissen

68th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Davis Groza (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.13
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.26
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Teo Rutisson

74th • 6-6-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

5.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rene Hentschel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ruben dehenau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.31
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.48
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.72
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

David Rotter

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Hadjiyiannis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Moore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.48
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.38
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Linus Albat

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brecht Van Reusel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Nennig (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.24
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.27
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.89
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.47
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Warre Sevens

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs stef van oort (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tanguy Meignier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Prats (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.78
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Alain Dang

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maxence Cornut (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs William Rao (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	2.08

Antoine BEUCHER

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 26:74

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lukas Thurow (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Enzo Ferreira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.38
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Antun Mesar

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yves Meienberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marc-Kevin Zontek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Tobias Hartfiel

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rok Havlas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs boris froidville (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Oleg Zabalujev

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukas Thurow (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Adamantios Kounavos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Billy van Zaal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Fanny Hermand (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

Pavlos Konstantinidis

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Callum Dalton (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lars Govers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs hendrik tol (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.04
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Jordy Van Eijk

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Noah Devos

dropped • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cyprien Lagalie (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Scornia (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Apel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Smolders (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.77
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Xavier Aubert

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tom Burggraaff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Watt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.19
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Dominik Ixert

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Harmsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bram bertens (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.75
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Alex Chițu

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Buntrock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 31:69

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Kirstein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Dylan Harmsen

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Ixert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aleksandar Kraljević (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Felix Hoenighausen

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Remco Baal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Möller (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.