Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Rotterdam 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danny Otto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Janovsky (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Siem Fincken (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davis Groza (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Eastwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Devos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Felix Hoenighausen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Höpfner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adamantios Kounavos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hadjiyiannis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Ray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roger Braun (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tjorven Meyer (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Umut Kayan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.