Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Arakni, Huntsman

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Bizau

5th • 10-3-0

77%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Steinert (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pavlos Konstantinidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Oliver Spapens (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35

80:20

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.35
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.19
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.50
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.40
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.90
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.31
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.79
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Lennart Paga

58th • 7-4-1

58%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Muntwyler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alexander Schauer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Draw vs Rok Havlas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.07
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.19
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.21
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.77
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Draw	✓	0.49	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Danny Otto

52nd • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rok Havlas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fabian Schunn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 73:27

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.11
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.36
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Daniel Brockhage

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.23
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.46
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.11
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Vasilis Kirlis

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Apel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.15
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Julien Erdreich

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aleksandar Kraljević (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Koch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.81
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Mário Abrantes

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Niels Vos (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Smolders (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs joeri pennings (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.77
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.08
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Bram bertens

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs hendrik tol (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Ixert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tanguy Meignier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Waij (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ruben Van Dessel

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fanny Hermand (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Erik Schwermer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Davis Groza (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Merijn Poorthuis

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sander Deceuninck (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Ivan Grimaldo

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Job de Vries (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.