Valda, Seismic Impact

Valda, Seismic Impact

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 6-4-0
60%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeroen Caspers (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Calum Young (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keir Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Umut Kayan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
dropped 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bradley Wayburne (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Katsu, the Wanderer
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
Dash I/O
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alain Dang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-2
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Merz (Unknown)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Paulissen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Miguel Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan McTernan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jannis Droeppelmann (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
Fang, Dracai of Blades
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Freitag (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Pleiades, Superstar
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luca Muratori (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!!
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs jens van santberghe (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.