FaB-Results
Pleiades, Superstar

Pleiades, Superstar

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jurij Di Carlo
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Dash I/O
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Johannes Janovsky (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea Ironsong
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jasper Lagendijk (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Lukas Thurow
dropped • 1-4-1
67%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
Dash I/O
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Uzuri, Switchblade
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Niels Vos (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Luca Muratori
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
René Schep
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ivo Malcenieks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.