Pleiades, Superstar at Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Pleiades, Superstar

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jurij Di Carlo

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Burghoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bram Hast (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Johannes Janovsky (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jasper Lagendijk (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.19
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lukas Thurow

dropped • 1-4-1

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine BEUCHER (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Niels Vos (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luca Muratori

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.82	0.98
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

René Schep

dropped • 0-2-1

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Ivo Malcenieks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.