Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Rotterdam 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Antoine Ruffion (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Job de Vries (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs David Watt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yannick Machiels (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayo Armstrong (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Werk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lars Govers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleksandar Kraljević (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Round 4: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Harmsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Waij (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romain Lambert (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.