Katsu, the Wanderer
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antoine Ruffion (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Job de Vries (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Liam Holden (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Watt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yannick Machiels (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Gillich (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayo Armstrong (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Werk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lars Govers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Round 5: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs May Made (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleksandar Kraljević (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Round 4: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Harmsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Waij (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romain Lambert (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sami Belkhorfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.