Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
5.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Loreau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 90:10
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonin Poubeau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 11: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
24th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
6.6
Surp
7.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Romain Pelisse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Gardize (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antonin Poubeau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Joseph White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 9: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 11: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
32nd • 8-3-1
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Draw |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
34th • 8-3-1
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Igor Koutzevitch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Florian Bouteyron (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clément Bernier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Louis Caubet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
50th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Mathieu Gomez (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Gement (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Win vs simon diaz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
71st • 7-4-1
58%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Noah Hicks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 5: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs snith nhotprasa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Draw |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
60th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs pierre marcueyz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 90:10
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marius Grosch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
36%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Schug (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 11: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Loss vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Varone (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 90:10
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Philippe Jacob (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Valentin Jacqueline (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs diego santiago (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Augé (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Tan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix MIL (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pietro Giraudo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maël Cousinier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Louis Angilbert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Roissac Sylvain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cedric Bernard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Killian Allouard (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jan Ojamaa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Guillaume Ricros (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Hugo David (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Fourchon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Reuter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Romain TRAVERSAZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Wozniak Brice (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luca Muratori (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Gardize (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxence Palkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Reuter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Charly Bizard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tristan Boulanger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Clark (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Corentin Ruis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Donovan LEBLANC (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs alban dufourt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chang Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Mamonas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Roufie (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guillaume Moutardier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs André Ferreira (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Mathieu Isorce (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Draw |
dropped • 2-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ed Cardall (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Lévi Descombas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Marco Lettieri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tristan Boulanger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Céline Dugat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Flavien Randoux (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.