Kano, Dracai of Aether
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
36th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sylvain LE ROUX (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robin Seichais (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clément Bernier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Céline Dugat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marc Sion (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Axel Gay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vladislav Kirichenko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Kihl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Loss vs Romain Lecuyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pietro Giraudo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rémi Claudepierre (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florent Leclercq (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoann Chaussinand (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Denis Müller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoann Chaussinand (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoann MARIE-ROSE (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Aubel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo David (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.