Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Lyon
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
36th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sylvain LE ROUX (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robin Seichais (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
90:10
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clément Bernier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Céline Dugat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marc Sion (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Axel Gay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vladislav Kirichenko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Kihl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Romain Lecuyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pietro Giraudo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rémi Claudepierre (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florent Leclercq (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoann Chaussinand (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Denis Müller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoann Chaussinand (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Milot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoann MARIE-ROSE (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Aubel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo David (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.